Rip Curl Cup Forecast powered by Surfline
Surfline Forecast Update: Tuesday Morning, July 25th, 2017 (local time)
Note: The Surfline Bali Forecast on the site is valid for the most exposed breaks in the region and that Padang Padang will see smaller wave heights.
Solid SW swell Friday through Monday. Good conditions expected. More solid swell on the radar for early August.
STILL ON TRACK WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS
The anticipated SW swell (235-220°) that we have been monitoring lately will build in late Wednesday through Thursday. Watch for the new energy to provide long period sets (19-22 seconds) up to a few feet overhead+ before dark on Thursday, although likely to be a little inconsistent. This swell peaks Friday with about 7 feet at 16-18 seconds and consistency improves. Sets will hang around the double overhead zone (8-12’ faces) at Padang on Friday, with occasional larger waves during the better tides. This size holds fairly steady through Saturday, although it may ease just a notch, still providing sets up to double overhead.
Favorable factors of this swell…
- Westerly angle and long period, which will refract and bowl harder across the reef.
- Low then incoming tides for the mornings.
- Offshore East-SE’erly Trades expected to prevail.
The same storm is looking to regroup in the Southeast Indian Ocean over the next 24-48hrs, setting up another strong and closer fetch for Bali. Therefore, solid/reinforcing SW-SSW swell (220-205°) is looking to move in for Sun/Mon. If this behaves as forecast, then sets will continue to hit double overhead+ at Padang going to the start of next week.
After that, long range models continue to indicate that strong storm activity will continue to march across the Southern Ocean over the week. With this consistency across the models, our confidence is high that early August will see more sizable swell. Right now, we're looking at a possible dose of solid back-to-back SW-SSW pulses over Aug 3rd-5th (potentially as strong as the swell discussed above). The storm to send the first of this double series is projected to develop this Friday/weekend.
Next Update: Thursday morning, July 27th (local time).